Unintended consequences of border restrictions

Like the war on drugs, I think immigration restrictions cause or exacerbate many of the problems associated with illegals (crime, poverty, poor assimilation):

* Without documentation, your job prospects will be limited to employers who look the other way. Therefore, you will be limited mostly to menial, manual jobs. Also, since getting educated won't help you much to get a better job, you have fewer incentives to become educated. This may also tend to create a culture in which educational achievement is devalued.

* If you fear that you will be deported, you will tend to avoid those who are not themselves in the illegal community (or closely associated with it). Therefore, the rate at which you learn English and assimilate “American” cultural values will be retarded. This will also tend to limit your job prospects.

* As a result of the first two facts, the returns to parasitic behavior will be higher than they would be otherwise. Also, tax revenues will be lower than they would've been otherwise.

* Since border crossings are so costly, you will have an incentive to stay in the U.S. permanently (and bring your family across), rather than work in the U.S., leave your family in Mexico, and travel back and forth. If you dislike the Mexicanization of American culture, this is probably not the result you intended.

* If a Mexican is stuck making $8.00/day in Mexico, who would otherwise be making $8/hour in the U.S., the world is poorer in two ways — the difference in price between the immigrant's wage and the next best alternative, and the difference between the immigrant's wage in the U.S. vs. the immigrant's wage in Mexico, plus the dead-weight loss of immigration enforcement.

Whatever negative externalities the immigrant would've imposed will be imposed anyway, they will just be imposed in Mexico rather than the U.S. The negative externalities will likely be higher, in fact, since the would-be immigrant will be forced to take a much less valuable Mexican job, and will therefore be poorer than otherwise. Increased poverty means less education, poorer nutrition, increased crime, and lower productivity.

Those increased negative externalities will, in turn, result in higher costs of production for Mexican goods and services.

Given the relatively free trade between the U.S. and Mexico, many of those costs will be borne by American consumers in the form of higher prices for Mexican goods and services.

Thus, as with the drug war, I think many of the costs acscribed to illegals are the result of, or exacerbated by, their illegal status itself, and aren't necessarily an inherent property of the immigrants themselves.

More immigration statistics

http://www.nilc.org/immspbs/research/Response_CIS_study.PDF

“…The newly released report by the Center for Immigration Studies (CIS) entitled
“Back Where We Started: An Examination of Trends in Immigrant Welfare Use
Since Welfare Reform” fails to adequately address several important public
policy questions central to evaluating immigrant use of benefits. Key policy
questions include:

The CIS report suggests in its conclusion that the response to immigrant use of
public benefits should be to reduce the level of immigration. The implication is
that taxpayers would benefit from a reduction of immigration. But the report
itself does not support such a claim. In fact, comprehensive government-funded
studies have found that increasing immigration would result in a net tax benefit
for other Americans: although immigrants use benefits, they also pay taxes, and
their tax payments are far higher than their benefits usage.
The most comprehensive study of immigrants’ fiscal impact was conducted by
the National Research Council (NRC) in 1997. The NRC found that, on average,
taxpayers receive a net $80,000 gain (total taxes minus all fiscal costs) during the
lifetime of each immigrant who comes to the U.S. In other words, immigrants
more than pay their own way.
The increase in benefit usage identified by the CIS report from 1996-2001
occurred only in Medicaid and the State Children’s Health Insurance Program
(SCHIP). The tiny changes in immigrant use of these programs would not affect
the NRC assessment of immigrants’ overall positive fiscal impact.”

http://www.ailf.org/ipc/ipf0402.pdf

“A study conducted by the National Research Council
(NRC) and National Academy of Sciences (NAS) concluded that
the total net benefit (taxes paid over benefits received) to the So-
cial Security system in today’s dollars from continuing current
levels of immigration will be nearly $500 billion for the 1998-
2022 period.16 With the baby-boomer generation approaching
retirement age, the projected increased burden on the Social Se-
curity system threatens to bankrupt the elderly population’s
safety net. And at a time when funds for Social Security are be-
coming increasingly scarce, the relevance of financial contribu-
tions made by immigrants needs to be considered.
The NRC/NAS study also reported that the average immigrant
imposes a net lifetime fiscal cost on state and local governments of
$25,000. A simple explanation for this finding is that most of the
taxes exacted from immigrants, such as income and social security
taxes, go to the federal government, whereas the services they use,
i.e. schools, hospitals, roads, etc., are provided by local governments.
One figure often absent from the analysis is the impact of
immigrants on the amount of state revenues received via the col-
lection of sales and consumption taxes. Since these taxes are re-
ceived regardless of legal status, there is no way to determine
exact figures, but it is clear that immigrants purchase goods and
services, and therefore contribute more than just the recorded
property and state income taxes. Overall, the NRC/NAS study’s
main conclusion is that on average, an additional immigrant gen-
erated a positive net contribution to the country of roughly $1,800.
Additional studies confirm these findings. The Urban Insitute
found that immigrants paid found that on the national level, im-
migrants paid $70.3 billion in taxes per year and received $42.9
billion in services.17

According to a 1998 study conducted by the
National Immigration Forum and the Cato Institute, “in their first
low-earning years in the U.S., immigrants typically are net drains
on the public coffers, but over time – usually after 10 to 15 years in
the U.S. – they turn into net contributors.”18 This study determined
that immigrant households and businesses provide $162 billion
per year in tax revenue to federal, state and local governments.
Immigrants clearly pay more in local, state and federal taxes
than they receive in most public services.Immigrant households
and businesses provide
$162 billion per year in tax
revenue to federal, state,
and local governments.

Author(s): Randolph Capps, Michael E. Fix
Posted: November 01, 2005
Citation URL: http://www.urban.org/url.cfm?ID=900898

Myth #1: Undocumented immigrants come to the United States to get welfare.

Undocumented men come to the United States almost exclusively to work. In 2003, over 90 percent of undocumented men worked—a rate higher than that for U.S. citizens or legal immigrants (Passel, Capps, and Fix 2004). Undocumented men are younger, less likely to be in school, and less likely to be retired than other men (Capps et al. 2003). Moreover, undocumented immigrants are ineligible for welfare, food stamps, Medicaid, and most other public benefits (Fix, Zimmermann, and Passel 2001).

Myth #6: Undocumented immigrants do not pay taxes.

Undocumented immigrants pay the same real estate taxes—whether they own homes or taxes are passed through to rents—and the same sales and other consumption taxes as everyone else. The majority of state and local costs of schooling and other services are funded by these taxes. Additionally, the U.S. Social Security Administration has estimated that three quarters of undocumented immigrants pay payroll taxes, and that they contribute $6-7 billion in Social Security funds that they will be unable to claim (Porter 2005).

References

Capps, Randy, Michael Fix, Jeffrey S. Passel, Jason Ost, and Dan Perez-Lopez. 2003. “A Profile of the Low-Wage Immigrant Workforce.” Washington, DC: The Urban Institute.

Fix, Michael, Wendy Zimmermann, and Jeffrey S. Passel. 2001. “The Integration of Immigrant Families in the United States.” Washington, DC: The Urban Institute.

Passel, Jeffrey S. 2005. “Unauthorized Migrants: Numbers and Characteristics.” Washington, DC: Pew Hispanic Center. http://pewhispanic.org/files/reports/46.pdf.

Passel, Jeffrey S., Randy Capps, and Michael Fix. 2004. “Undocumented Immigrants: Facts and Figures.” Washington, DC: The Urban Institute.

Porter, Eduardo. 2005. “Illegal Immigrants Are Bolstering Social Security with Billions.” New York Times, April 5.

Something's just not right….

Via :

Psychology of persuasion

http://www.economist.com/displaystory.cfm?story_id=1109515

Psychology

Persuasion
May 2nd 2002
From The Economist print edition

Scientists are uncovering ways of making messages more persuasive. Politicians and salesmen use such tricks already. Who can afford not to read on?
AKG

YOUR correspondent was not sure whether to write this piece. But Eric Knowles, a professor of social psychology at the University of Arkansas, was very convincing. He said that he had experimental evidence to support a new approach to persuasion—one that works on removing people's inhibitions, or lowering their resistance.

Dr Knowles is so compelling that he has managed to persuade America's National Science Foundation to give him $163,000 to find ways of making messages and appeals more persuasive. Recently, he and a number of other researchers outlined their work on resistance-reduction at a meeting at the University of Arkansas.

Resistance is useless
When somebody is torn over a decision, some aspects will be attractive and encourage acceptance; others will be displeasing and create resistance. Researchers refer to persuasive strategies that work by making an offer more attractive as “alpha” strategies. Those that work by minimising resistance to the offer are called “omega” strategies. Dr Knowles operates at the omega end of the alphabet.

Resistance is in some sense a thing and can thus be used up and replenished, says Dr Knowles

His main insight into omega strategies is the idea that resistance is in some sense a thing, and that it can thus be used up and replenished, rather like water in a tank. Such changes in resistance level are not necessarily the result of logical or rational argument. Once the level drops, the tank is topped up gradually until it is full again, rather as a water-closet cistern refills itself after it has been flushed. The task of the persuader is to drain the tank. That of the consumer is to keep it full enough to resist undesirable changes.

In collaboration with Jay Linn, a colleague at Arkansas, Dr Knowles recently set out to test this idea in the context of political advertising. First, the two researchers asked a few questions which they used to divide their subjects into groups that might be described (although they did not use such terms themselves) as “sceptical” and “gullible”. They then redivided them into four groups and subjected each group to a different experimental “treatment” that involved watching a series of seven video-clips showing unfamiliar candidates for office talking about where they stood on a particular issue.

One group was asked to pay special attention to the first clip; the other three had to concentrate on the last. Two of the latter three groups were also shown a short travelogue about Fiji before the final clip. One of those two groups was asked to think positively about Fiji, and the other was instructed to make a list of all the things that could go wrong on a trip to the islands. Finally, all the subjects had to criticise each advertisement and candidate.

“Gullible” subjects used up their resistance to the advertising early on. They became less and less critical of both the policies and the candidates as the experiment proceeded. Since the clips were shown in different orders to different subjects, that could not be due to some inherent lack of worth in the message or the messenger. Subjects' reactions to the final clip depended on the approach that they had been asked to take to the travelogue. They showed greater dislike of the final candidate when allowed to “replenish” their resistance by watching it in a positive frame of mind than if they had been asked to worry about the trip's difficulties. This result fits well with Dr Knowles's model.

“Sceptics” behaved differently. They were least critical of the initial candidate, but became increasingly negative as the advertisements progressed—no matter how they were asked to view the Fiji tape. In this case, repetition seemed to build up resistance, rather than draining it. Fitting that result into Dr Knowles's model is harder. To pursue the cistern analogy, it suggests that the ballcock which detects water level is being moved upwards. The idea of resistance as a variable quantity is still there, but the relationship between its initial level and its tendency to rise or fall from that level needs further investigation.

Je ne regrette rien
Another powerful part of decision-making is anticipated feelings of regret. This is why people are, for example, reluctant to trade lottery tickets—they think about how awful they would feel if their numbers came up. Addressing such fears directly can be a way of increasing or reducing resistance, and is thus another example of an omega strategy.

Steven Sherman, a researcher at Indiana University, and his colleagues, recently demonstrated the effects of anticipated regret by offering two groups of participants in an experiment a choice between two trivial and, on the face of it, equally attractive alternatives: which of two football teams to place a bet on. A “ringer” planted among the subjects by the experimenters pushed them to choose one team rather than the other. One group was also asked, using a questionnaire, to consider how much regret they would feel if they did not take the proffered advice. Those in this group were much more likely to choose what had been recommended than those in the first group. That result gives marketers a powerful fear to play on.

There are other tricks that can be employed to lower resistance. It can, for example, be “disrupted” by the unexpected. In an experiment a few years ago, students posing as beggars found that they received small change 44% of the time that they asked directly for it without specifying a sum. If they asked for a precise sum that was a single coin (25 cents), they got it 64% of the time. But if they asked for an apparently arbitrary number (37 cents) they got it 75% of the time. The more precise and unusual the request, the less people were able to resist it.

We have control
All this talk of resistance is, of course, rather fuzzy—though it is still of great interest to advertisers and salesmen. But Dr Knowles thinks that alpha and omega strategies may be more than mere phrases. They may correspond to the separate neurological systems that animals have for behavioural activation and inhibition. According to this model, omega strategies work by reducing inhibitions to action.

Is resistance “hard-wired” into the developing brain, or can it also be learnt?

This suggests that the resistance mechanism is “hard-wired” into the developing brain. But researchers such as Brad Sagarin, a psychologist at Northern Illinois University, think that levels of resistance can, to some extent, be learnt—and that they can be built up by exercise. In other words, the tank itself is capable of either temporary or permanent enlargement, in response to circumstances and experience.

For example, people often do not resist advertising, because they have the illusion of invulnerability to its effects. They believe that advertising is something that only affects everybody else. But, says Dr Sagarin, if you demonstrate to somebody that this is not true by showing them that they have been fooled, this causes a powerful increase in resistance.

People want to avoid being duped or cheated. Indeed, results from evolutionary psychology, a discipline that tries to elucidate the origins as well as the nature of human emotions, suggest that detecting and avoiding cheats is one of the strongest driving forces of human psychology. That supports the idea that the resistance mechanism has been wired in by evolution.

Whether the world really needs to know more about making messages more persuasive is a different question. Needless to say, all the researchers are convincing on the subject. It is true, as Dr Knowles admits, that such knowledge can be used coercively. But he points out that it can also be used to educate. In any case, he says, “By minimising a person's resistance, you'll decrease the chance that they'll experience future regrets about the decision.” Not convinced about the science of persuasion? Readers are asked to consider how regretful they may feel if they later conclude that it was right all along.

Nude Gymnastics

Lovely: nude gymnastics. (NSFW)

Immigration and Immigrants: Setting the Record Straight

A useful summary of the immigration literature:

http://www.urban.org/Publications/305184.html

Stone Golem

The Stone Golem: best costume ever.

“…This Stone Golem was constructed using about 5 foam mattresses, over 50 sticks of hot melt glue, and 8 cans of grey and black spray paint. The foam is glued in large thick sheets (approx 20cm thick) to a fabric bodysuit, and the deep cracks are carved into the foam surface. The bodysuit has a zip up the back to allow the wearer to enter it, and the zip is concealed by abutting foam. The soles of the feet are made of corflute that has been sliced in half to expose corrugations that act as grip. The arms are about twice the length of the wearer\'s arms, and act as swinging weapons made entirely of soft foam. The golem took about 100 hours of work to construct, between 3 people. On its first appearance, the Stone Golem sent twenty bold adventurers into a hasty retreat without so much as touching them.
stolen from:
http://www.mordavia.com/”

Can personal stereos improve productivity?

http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m3495/is_n4_v41/ai_18298711/print

Can personal stereos improve productivity?

Greg R. Oldham
In today's workforce, managers are often challenged to improve employee productivity. Providing music to employees via personal stereo headsets such as the Sony Walkman is one strategy that may help achieve that goal.

Personal stereos and headsets have grown in popularity so much in the past 20 years that they can now be found in nearly every imaginable setting, from health clubs to libraries. However, they are seldom found in the workplace. Most employees do not have the option listening to music on headsets while they work. This is not to suggest that music is seldom played at work. On the contrary, some estimates indicate that over 135,000 businesses worldwide use music at work. But these businesses typically provide music via background systems — not stereo headsets. With background systems, speakers located in ceilings and walls throughout the workplace provide one type of music programming to all employees at the same time. Employees have little choice but to listen to the music that has been selected for their particular work shift.

The benefits of music

The effects of background music systems have been studied extensively in independent research as well as in studies sponsored by firms that market the systems, such as the Muzak company. Most studies show a productivity increase of about 5 percent after background systems have been installed.

Why does music have this effect? Advocates offer two explanations. One is that music elevates or enhances employees' moods. Proponents argue that music boosts enthusiasm, increases relaxation and lessens nervousness, and that these elevated mood states contribute to higher productivity. The second explanation is that music masks distracting sounds, such as extraneous conversations and machine sounds. When these sounds are masked, employees are better able to concentrate on their jobs, resulting in higher levels of productivity.


The arguments favoring background music are persuasive and the findings documenting productivity increases are impressive. So why even consider stereo headsets? Because in any organization, a large number of employees will probably resist efforts to introduce background music. Muzak's own research indicates that more than 20 percent of employees prefer no music to background music. Other independent research projects also indicate that many employees find background music annoying and, in some cases, an invasion of their privacy.

Providing music via headsets instead of background systems can eliminate the problem. With headsets, individuals don't have to listen to music if they don't want to. Those interested can listen to the music of their choice whenever they wish and experience many of music's proposed benefits — elevated moods, reduced distractions and heightened productivity.

The critical question is, will the use of stereo headsets result in improved productivity among employees who choose to use them? A recently completed study suggests they do, and very effectively.

Stereo Headsets

in one office

Researchers examined the effects of headset use in one office of a large retail organization located in the Midwest. The study participants were 256 nonsupervisory employees who held 32 different clerical and administrative jobs such as data entry, correspondence, and account analysis.

In a preliminary survey, 150 employees indicated they were interested in using headsets at work; 106 employees said they were not. A random sample of 75 employees drawn from the pool of those expressing an interest in headsets was assigned to a “Stereo” group and permitted to use headsets at work for a four-week period. The remaining 181 employees were assigned to a “Control” group and did not use stereos at work.

The average hourly performance rates of employees in the Stereo and Control groups were monitored in the four weeks before headsets were introduced and again during the four weeks headsets were used in the office. In addition, all employees completed two surveys — one before the stereos were introduced; the second after stereos had been removed from the office. Both surveys measured mood states such as fatigue, nervousness, enthusiasm, relaxation and the number of experienced distractions.

Because the researchers suspected that music might not enhance the productivity of employees in all types of jobs, a human resource manager rated the overall complexity of each job in the office. The researchers hypothesized that in simple and routine jobs, employees would pay more attention to music and benefit from its mood-enhancing qualities, but in complex and mentally challenging jobs, employees would more likely be absorbed in their work and realize fewer of music's benefits.

How music affects

productivity

To examine the changes in productivity, each group's performance during the period stereos were used (the stereo period) was compared with its performance in the four weeks before headsets were introduced (the pre-stereo period). Each employee's weekly performance scores for the four weeks of the pre-stereo period were averaged, as were the scores for the four weeks of the stereo period. Then the differences between these two average scores were calculated for each employee and transformed to percentage changes in productivity for the four-week stereo period for comparison with productivity for the pre-stereo period.

For example, if an employee's average performance score changed from 100 units for the pre-stereo period to 112 units for the stereo period, this would represent a 12, percent performance increase. These percentage changes were then averaged for employees in each group.

There was a 6.3 percent difference in productivity increases between the Stereo and Control groups, which can be attributed to the use of headsets in the office. Productivity increased dramatically for employees using stereos at work — about a 10.2 percent jump compared with rates before stereos were used. However, productivity for the Control group increased only 3.9 percent.

The findings were also analyzed for employees working on simple, low-skill jobs such as document filming and data entry, versus those working on relatively complex jobs such as insurance processing and account analysis. These findings were even more striking. The productivity of individuals using headsets and working on simple jobs increased 14 percent compared with their productivity before stereos were introduced. However, the productivity of stereo listeners working on complex jobs increased only 6.3 percent compared with pre-stereo levels. Productivity increases for members of the control group working on both simple and complex jobs were small — 4.1 percent and 2.6 percent, respectively.

Finally, changes in the survey measures for the Stereo and Control groups during the study period were compared. For example, the number of distractions experienced by members of the Stereo group decreased after stereo use began, while members of the Control group showed no change in the number of distractions. Employees in the Control group also showed few changes in mood states. In fact, the only noticeable change was that they became more fatigued during the four weeks that stereos were present.

However, the moods of Stereo group members improved substantially after headset use began. These employees became less nervous and fatigued and more enthusiastic and relaxed. Additional statistical analyses indicated that the change in relaxation, not the other moods or distractions, accounted for the improvements in productivity for members of the Stereo group.

Music in your

workplace?

This research indicates that music provided by stereo headsets can be an effective strategy for boosting productivity, particularly for employees in relatively simple, routine jobs. Certainly, other interventions might be used to enhance employee productivity, but few are easier to implement and less costly (about $6.00 per headset) than personal stereo headsets.

There are a few limitations and uncertainties concerning the use of headsets. First, in comparison to background music systems, headsets are only a limited change strategy. While everyone hears background music, only those who choose to use headsets are exposed to music and are likely to respond to it. This limited strategy has one obvious advantage — those who find music annoying are not required to listen to it. On the other hand, this strategy does not address the productivity rates of individuals who choose not to use headsets. It may be necessary to consider alternative change strategies for these employees.

The study also provides few answers about the effects of non-music programming. All of the employees in the Stereo group completed daily logs indicating the type of programming they listened to most. These logs showed that headset users listened only to music and there were no differences in productivity for employees listening to different music types. However, users of headsets could potentially listen to any type of programming offered, from sports to talk to news. No one can say what percentage of employees in other settings would choose to listen to non-music programming or what effects such programming would have on productivity. This area needs further study.

Finally, although headset use is likely to enhance productivity, the potential problems and dangers associated with headsets should be explored before they are introduced into any workplace. For example, headset users may have difficulty hearing alarms, verbal warnings or instructions, and those who listen to music at high levels may experience permanent hearing loss — something employers do not want to be held liable for.

Guidelines need to be developed and implemented before headsets are permitted in any organization. But if careful guidelines are introduced and followed, stereo headsets may be considered both a safe and an effective strategy for boosting productivity in the workplace.

Greg R. Oldham is C. Clinton Spivey Professor of Business Administration and professor of labor and industrial relations at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign (UIUC).

Anne Cummings, Leann J. Mischel and James M. Schmidtke are doctoral students in the Department of Business Administration at UIUC.

Jing Zhou is a doctoral student in the Institute of Labor and Industrial Relations at UIUC.

COPYRIGHT 1996 Society for Human Resource Management
COPYRIGHT 2004 Gale Group

Charlton Heston is the new kid in school in….

10 Things I Hate About Commandments

Interview with Fitness Photographer Bill Dobbins

Interview with Fitness Photographer Bill Dobbins.